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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Aberdeen
U U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Celtic
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
10 Free kicks against 27
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · Celtic 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hearts 8 5 3 0 +9 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +7 16
3 Hibernian 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Motherwell 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Dundee United 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Celtic 7 3 1 3 +12 10
7 St Mirren 8 2 4 2 -5 10
8 ST Johnstone 8 2 3 3 +0 9
9 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Livingston 8 1 1 6 -10 4
11 Ross County 8 0 3 5 -10 3
12 Dundee 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Celtic
11′
K. Furuhashi 0–1
D. Turnbull
35′
🟨 David Turnbull
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Ferguson
C. Ramsay
56′
63′
🟨 Nir Bitton
66′
🟨 Jota
D. McGeouch 🔁
↦ S. Brown
72′
72′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ N. Bitton
72′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ L. Abada
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ A. Samuels
78′
84′
Jota 1–2
A. Montgomery
D. Campbell 🔁
↦ M. Longstaff
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-4-1-1
25 G. Woods G
27 D. Bates D
3 J. MacKenzie D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson F
44 M. Longstaff M
9 C. Ramírez F
23 A. Samuels M
Bench (7)
15 D. McGeouch
18 C. McLennan
24 D. Campbell
5 D. Gallagher
1 J. Lewis
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
21 J. Gurr

Coach: S. Glass

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
56 A. Ralston D
54 A. Montgomery D
6 N. Bitton M
42 C. McGregor M
14 D. Turnbull M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
11 L. Abada F
Bench (7)
18 T. Rogić
10 A. Ajeti
5 L. Scales
57 S. Welsh
29 S. Bain
16 J. McCarthy
7 G. Giakoumakis

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,96
U
3,98
B ✓
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.