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Serie A

Referee: S Sozza

Fiorentina

S S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Napoli

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 5. · Napoli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Inter	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Roma	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bologna	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Empoli	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Verona	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Sampdoria	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Spezia	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Roma	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
6	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.