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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Rennes
T T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,1
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
13%
75%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 14. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +15 24
2 Lens 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Nice 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Marseille 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Angers 8 3 4 1 +4 13
6 Lorient 8 3 4 1 +1 13
7 Lyon 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Monaco 8 3 2 3 +0 11
9 Strasbourg 9 3 2 4 -1 11
10 Lille 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Nantes 8 3 1 4 +1 10
12 Montpellier 9 2 4 3 +0 10
13 Reims 9 2 4 3 -1 10
14 Rennes 8 2 3 3 +1 9
15 Clermont 8 2 3 3 -8 9
16 Bordeaux 8 1 4 3 -6 7
17 Troyes 8 1 3 4 -4 6
18 Metz 8 1 3 4 -7 6
19 Brest 9 0 4 5 -8 4
20 St Etienne 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Paris SG
Gaëtan Laborde 🟨
24′
1–0 G. Laborde
K. Sulemana
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. Tait
G. Laborde
46′
Jonas Martin 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 Presnel Kimpembe
56′
🟨 Gianluigi Donnarumma
69′
ℹ️ Kylian Mbappé
VAR: Goal cancelled
L. Assignon 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
75′
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
75′
B. Santamaría 🔁
↦ J. Martin
75′
76′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ M. Verratti
76′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ Neymar
76′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ I. Gueye
Gaëtan Laborde ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
83′
86′
🟨 Kylian Mbappé
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ F. Tait
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
16 A. Gomis G
27 H. Traoré D
25 B. Meling D
6 N. Aguerd D
23 W. Omari D
28 J. Martin M
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
10 K. Sulemana M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
22 L. Assignon
9 S. Guirassy
8 B. Santamaría
26 L. Ugochukwu
3 A. Truffert
1 R. Salin
17 L. Tchaouna
18 M. Abline
4 L. Badé

Coach: B. Génésio

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
50 G. Donnarumma G
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
2 A. Hakimi D
25 Nuno Mendes D
11 Á. Di María M
6 M. Verratti M
27 I. Gueye M
30 L. Messi M
10 Neymar M
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
18 G. Wijnaldum
9 M. Icardi
21 Ander Herrera
24 T. Kehrer
15 Danilo Pereira
1 K. Navas
12 Rafinha
8 L. Paredes
22 A. Diallo

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,41
U
4,55
B
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.