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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Wisla Plock
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
100%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 1. · Korona Kielce 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Legia 6 3 2 1 +2 11
3 Stal Mielec 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Cracovia 5 3 0 2 +4 9
6 Radomiak Radom 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Slask Wroclaw 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Gornik Zabrze 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Korona Kielce 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Jagiellonia 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Warta Poznan 5 2 0 3 -4 6
14 Widzew Lodz 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Piast Gliwice 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Lechia Gdansk 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Legnica 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Korona Kielce
1–0 R. Wolski
16′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Szpakowski
↦ D. Takáč
46′
🔁 D. Błanik
↦ J. Podgórski
Aleksander Pawlak 🟨
52′
M. Šulek 🔁
↦ A. Pawlak
55′
2–0 Davo
D. Rasak
60′
61′
🔁 O. Sewerzyński
↦ A. Deja
F. Lesniak 🔁
↦ K. Vallo
70′
D. Kocyła 🔁
↦ D. Rasak
71′
72′
🔁 E. Shikavka
↦ R. Deaconu
72′
🔁 J. Nojszewski
↦ J. Łukowski
A. Chrzanowski 🔁
↦ R. Wolski
78′
M. Kolar 🔁
↦ P. Tomasik
78′
Dawid Kocyła ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
82′
🟨 Adrian Danek
97′
B. Śpiączka 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

4-1-4-1
69 B. Gradecki G
89 A. Pawlak D
2 D. Michalski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
77 P. Tomasik D
8 D. Furman M
15 K. Vallo M
6 D. Rasak M
10 R. Wolski M
11 Davo M
20 Ł. Sekulski F
Bench (9)
19 M. Šulek
23 F. Lesniak
9 D. Kocyła
4 A. Chrzanowski
24 M. Kolar
18 M. Mokrzycki
27 M. Kvocera
1 K. Kamiński
25 J. Rzeźniczak

Coach: P. Staňo

Korona Kielce

4-2-3-1
1 K. Forenc G
25 G. Szymusik D
66 M. Trojak D
90 K. Petrov D
23 A. Danek D
22 A. Deja M
8 D. Takáč M
6 J. Podgórski M
13 R. Deaconu M
7 J. Łukowski M
18 B. Śpiączka F
Bench (9)
20 M. Szpakowski
17 D. Błanik
26 O. Sewerzyński
99 E. Shikavka
16 J. Nojszewski
95 M. Zebić
5 R. Seweryś
10 J. Kiełb
73 M. Zapytowski

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.