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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Korona Kielce

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

26%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

44%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

24 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 14. · Jagiellonia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	27	19	5	3	+33	62
2	Legia	27	16	8	3	+15	56
3	Lech Poznan	27	13	8	6	+13	47
4	Pogon Szczecin	27	12	8	7	+3	44
5	Warta Poznan	28	11	8	9	+7	41
6	Cracovia	28	10	8	10	+6	38
7	Widzew Lodz	27	10	8	9	+1	38
8	Wisla Plock	27	10	6	11	+2	36
9	Piast Gliwice	27	10	6	11	+2	36
10	Stal Mielec	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Radomiak Radom	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Jagiellonia	27	7	12	8	+2	33
13	Gornik Zabrze	28	8	8	12	-5	32
14	Korona Kielce	27	8	7	12	-9	31
15	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Zaglebie	28	8	7	13	-16	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Legnica	27	4	8	15	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Jagiellonia	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
7	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Warta Poznan	14	4	6	4	+3	18
10	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
12	Stal Mielec	13	4	5	4	+2	17
13	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Piast Gliwice	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Legnica	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Radomiak Radom	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	7	4	3	+6	25
2	Legia	14	7	4	3	+2	25
3	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
4	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	4	7	-9	13
14	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Jagiellonia	13	0	10	3	-4	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	1	10	-14	10
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.