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Europa League
Referee: E Jorgji
Rakow
U S U S T
0–4
Full-time
Atalanta
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,34 xG 2,83
51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Atalanta – Rakow 2–0

Match report

Rakow Atalanta
14′
⚽ L. Muriel 0–1
Aleksey Miranchuk
26′
⚽ G. Bonfanti 0–2
33′
🟨 Emil Holm
Half-time 0–2
A. Crnac 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
61′
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ V. Kocherhin
62′
72′
⚽ L. Muriel 0–3
Fran Tudor 🟨
75′
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
78′
79′
🟨 Giovanni Bonfanti
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
81′
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
81′
84′
🔁 M. Palestra
↦ E. Holm
84′
🔁 F. Rossi
↦ M. Carnesecchi
89′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ Aleksey Miranchuk
90′
🔁 M. Cissé
↦ L. Muriel
92′
🔁 L. Mendicino
↦ M. Adopo
92′
⚽ C. De Ketelaere 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
15 A. Kovačević D
7 F. Tudor D
20 Jean Carlos M
30 V. Kocherhin M
5 G. Berggren M
14 S. Plavšić M
11 J. Yeboah F
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (7)
19 A. Crnac
77 M. Cebula
22 D. Sorescu
99 F. Piasecki
93 S. Kittel
12 A. Tsiftsis
29 T. Mras

Coach: D. Szwarga

Atalanta

3-4-3
29 M. Carnesecchi G
33 H. Hateboer D
43 G. Bonfanti D
46 T. Del Lungo D
3 E. Holm M
8 M. Pašalić M
25 M. Adopo M
21 N. Zortea M
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F
9 L. Muriel F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
Bench (10)
45 M. Palestra
31 F. Rossi
52 T. De Nipoti
99 M. Cissé
44 L. Mendicino
49 A. Ceresoli
48 A. Manzoni
51 A. Bonanomi
47 M. Colombo
40 P. Vismara

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.