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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Rakow

U S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

69%

23%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 43%

23%

62%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

18 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 1. · Korona Kielce 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Widzew Lodz	14	8	2	4	+9	26
3	Wisla Plock	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	Legia	14	7	4	3	+1	25
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	5	3	+4	23
6	Stal Mielec	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Lech Poznan	12	6	3	3	+4	21
8	Cracovia	13	5	3	5	+4	18
9	Jagiellonia	13	4	5	4	+4	17
10	Warta Poznan	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Radomiak Radom	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Zaglebie	13	4	5	4	-5	17
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	Piast Gliwice	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	Korona Kielce	13	3	3	7	-6	12
17	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	2	8	-14	8
18	Legnica	13	1	3	9	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Legia	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Slask Wroclaw	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Cracovia	7	3	1	3	+4	10
10	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Zaglebie	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Legnica	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Gornik Zabrze	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Korona Kielce	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Warta Poznan	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Stal Mielec	7	4	0	3	-1	12
4	Lech Poznan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	-5	10
7	Wisla Plock	8	2	3	3	+2	9
8	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Pogon Szczecin	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Korona Kielce	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Legia	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Piast Gliwice	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Jagiellonia	6	0	4	2	-3	4
18	Legnica	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.