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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Brescia
U T T U S
2–3
Full-time
Cosenza
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
42%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 8. · Cosenza 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
7 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
8 Brescia 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 +1 15
10 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
11 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cosenza
Davide Adorni 🟨
3′
Michele Besaggio 🟨
11′
Giacomo Olzer 🟨
31′
34′
M. Zilli 0–1
A. Florenzi
Half-time 0–2
46′
S. Mazzocchi 0–2
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
46′
53′
🔁 C. Kourfalidis
↦ M. Zilli
57′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
Niccolò Corrado 🟨
59′
P. Nuamah 🔁
↦ M. Besaggio
61′
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ A. Jurič
61′
64′
🔁 G. Ricci
↦ R. Ciervo
64′
🔁 B. Cimino
↦ M. Ricciardi
Alexander Jallow 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Michael Venturi
1–2 B. Bjarnason
A. Cistana
77′
80′
🟨 Alessandro Caporale
82′
🔁 J. Mauri
↦ A. Florenzi
82′
🔁 P. Martino
↦ M. Venturi
G. Moncini 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
87′
2–2 F. Bianchi
B. Bjarnason
90′
Gennaro Borrelli 🟨
94′
95′
Charlys 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
18 A. Jallow D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
19 N. Corrado D
26 M. Bertagnoli M
6 M. Verreth M
39 M. Besaggio M
27 G. Olzer M
29 G. Borrelli F
7 A. Jurič F
Bench (11)
8 B. Bjarnason
20 P. Nuamah
9 F. Bianchi
11 G. Moncini
32 A. Papetti
33 Z. Muça
16 T. Buhagiar
23 N. Galazzi
4 F. Paghera
5 G. Calvani
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: R. Maran

Cosenza

3-4-2-1
1 A. Micai G
23 M. Venturi D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
6 Charlys M
28 C. Kouan M
19 R. Ciervo M
34 A. Florenzi F
21 M. Zilli F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
39 C. Kourfalidis
31 G. Ricci
2 B. Cimino
24 J. Mauri
4 P. Martino
55 A. Hristov
10 T. Fumagalli
9 M. Sankoh
11 T. D'Orazio
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
5 M. Camporese
22 T. Vettorel

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,18
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.