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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Sudtirol
S T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,8
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
58%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 17. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
7 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
8 Brescia 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 +1 15
10 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
11 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Sassuolo
Half-time 0–0
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
51′
57′
A. Laurienté 0–1
D. Berardi
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ K. Zedadka
60′
R. Odogwu 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
61′
61′
🔁 E. Iannoni
↦ Pedro Obiang
61′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ F. Russo
68′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ A. Laurienté
70′
🟨 Samuele Mulattieri
J. Martini 🔁
↦ J. Kurtić
75′
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ M. Rover
75′
V. Crespi 🔁
↦ S. Molina
84′
89′
🔁 Y. Paz
↦ E. Pieragnolo
89′
🔁 C. Odenthal
↦ D. Berardi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

5-4-1
12 G. Drago G
79 S. Molina D
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
7 M. Rover M
4 T. Arrigoni M
27 J. Kurtić M
11 K. Zedadka M
33 S. Merkaj F
Bench (12)
17 D. Casiraghi
90 R. Odogwu
6 J. Martini
8 A. Mallamo
9 V. Crespi
99 M. Praszelik
23 L. Ceppitelli
62 D. Theiner
14 F. Davi
2 H. El Kaouakibi
30 A. Giorgini
68 A. Vimercati

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
12 G. Satalino G
23 J. Toljan D
19 F. Romagna D
80 T. Muharemović D
15 E. Pieragnolo D
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
91 F. Russo F
Bench (12)
40 E. Iannoni
77 N. Pierini
9 S. Mulattieri
17 Y. Paz
26 C. Odenthal
44 K. Miranda
35 L. Lipani
1 A. Russo
29 F. Caligara
25 L. D'Andrea
2 F. Missori
24 L. Moro

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U
3,28
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.