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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Modena
U U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Carrarese
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 19. · Carrarese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
7 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
8 Brescia 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 +1 15
10 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
11 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Carrarese
27′
🔁 F. Oliana
↦ M. Coppolaro
Grégoire Defrel 🟨
37′
1–0 C. Cauz
42′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 D. Bouah
↦ S. Zanon
53′
🔁 L. Cerri
↦ L. Cherubini
F. Abiuso 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
61′
G. Caso 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
61′
69′
🟨 Samuel Giovane
Riccardo Gagno 🟨
70′
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ T. Battistella
71′
75′
🔁 A. Capello
↦ S. Shpendi
75′
🔁 M. Finotto
↦ S. Giovane
78′
🟨 Marco Imperiale
2–0 A. Palumbo
G. Caso
80′
M. Cotali 🔁
↦ R. Idrissi
84′
G. Zaro 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-2-3-1
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
23 M. Caldara D
33 C. Cauz D
27 R. Idrissi D
5 T. Battistella M
8 S. Santoro M
10 A. Palumbo M
16 F. Gerli M
21 K. Bozhanaj M
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
90 F. Abiuso
20 G. Caso
6 L. Magnino
29 M. Cotali
19 G. Zaro
24 M. Oliva
7 E. Duca
2 G. Beyuku
18 A. Di Pardo
78 F. Bagheria
31 Eric Botteghin
1 J. Sassi

Coach: P. Mandelli

Carrarese

3-5-2
1 M. Bleve G
21 M. Coppolaro D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
20 S. Giovane M
18 N. Schiavi M
17 E. Zuelli M
11 M. Cicconi M
19 S. Shpendi F
9 L. Cherubini F
Bench (12)
6 F. Oliana
13 D. Bouah
90 L. Cerri
28 A. Capello
32 M. Finotto
16 M. Cavion
8 R. Palmieri
39 M. Motolese
10 G. Panico
82 L. Capezzi
24 N. Chiorra
34 G. Guarino

Coach: A. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,36
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.