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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Mantova

U U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Cremonese

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

25%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

42%

75%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

25 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mantova 16. · Cremonese 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	13	8	4	1	+13	28
2	Pisa	13	8	4	1	+11	28
3	Spezia	12	6	6	0	+8	24
4	Cesena	12	5	3	4	+2	18
5	Cremonese	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Cosenza	13	4	6	3	+0	18
7	Palermo	13	4	5	4	+2	17
8	Juve Stabia	12	4	5	3	+0	17
9	Brescia	13	5	2	6	-2	17
10	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-2	15
11	Bari	12	2	8	2	+2	14
12	Catanzaro	12	2	8	2	+2	14
13	Modena	13	3	5	5	-1	14
14	Reggiana	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Salernitana	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Mantova	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Carrarese	13	3	4	6	-4	13
18	Sudtirol	13	4	1	8	-6	13
19	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-8	13
20	Frosinone	13	1	7	5	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+9	17
2	Cesena	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Spezia	6	5	1	0	+6	16
4	Sassuolo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Modena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+3	11
7	Catanzaro	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	Brescia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Carrarese	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Bari	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Salernitana	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Cremonese	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Juve Stabia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Sudtirol	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	Palermo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
19	Frosinone	7	0	5	2	-4	5
20	Cittadella	5	0	4	1	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Palermo	8	3	3	2	+2	12
3	Pisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
6	Cosenza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Cittadella	7	3	0	4	-7	9
8	Spezia	6	1	5	0	+2	8
9	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Brescia	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Sudtirol	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Salernitana	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Reggiana	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Frosinone	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Catanzaro	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Modena	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Cesena	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Mantova	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.