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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gonçalo Neves
Estoril
T T U S T
0–0
Full-time
AVS
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril AVS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,29 xG 1,11
61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Estoril 12. · AVS 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 10 0 0 +32 +23.9 30
2 Porto 10 9 0 1 +23 +15.8 27
3 Benfica 9 7 1 1 +18 +11.8 22
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 +10 +5.6 20
5 Guimaraes 10 5 3 2 +2 +2.2 18
6 Santa Clara 10 6 0 4 +1 +6.6 18
7 Moreirense 11 5 2 4 +1 +3.7 17
8 Famalicao 10 4 4 2 +3 -3.3 16
9 Casa Pia 10 3 3 4 -4 -2.5 12
10 Gil Vicente 11 2 4 5 -5 -4.5 10
11 Boavista 10 2 3 5 -6 -2.8 9
12 Estoril 10 2 3 5 -8 -11.0 9
13 AVS 10 2 3 5 -10 -5.6 9
14 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 -12 -7.3 9
15 Nacional 9 2 2 5 -7 -0.5 8
16 Arouca 10 2 1 7 -13 -10.6 7
17 Estrela 10 1 3 6 -12 -9.0 6
18 Farense 10 1 1 8 -13 -12.6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Estoril AVS
9′
🔁 N. Rodríguez
↦ C. Devenish
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Rafael Rodrigues
↦ Kiki
46′
🔁 J. Mercado
↦ T. Akinsola
Pedro Carvalho 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Costa
65′
Hélder Costa 🔁
↦ Fabrício Garcia
66′
76′
🔁 I. Kamate
↦ Vasco Lopes
76′
🔁 Nenê
↦ Rodrigo Ribeiro
Jordan Holsgrove 🟨
83′
Y. Begraoui 🔁
↦ Jandro Orellana
83′
Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Estoril

4-3-3
27 Joel Robles G
20 Wagner Pina D
25 F. Bacher D
44 K. Boma D
18 Gonçalo Costa D
6 Jandro Orellana M
7 Vinicius Zanocelo M
10 J. Holsgrove M
12 João Carvalho F
9 A. Marqués F
17 Fabrício Garcia F
Bench (9)
22 Pedro Carvalho
11 Hélder Costa
14 Y. Begraoui
19 André Lacximicant
26 M. Foe-Ondoa
92 Isra Sala
3 Isma Sierra
8 Michel
1 K. Chamorro

Coach: I. Cathro

AVS

4-2-3-1
13 G. Ochoa G
2 Fernando Fonseca D
42 C. Devenish D
5 Jorge Teixeira D
24 Kiki D
15 Jaume Grau M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
10 Vasco Lopes M
14 Lucas Piazón M
11 T. Akinsola M
20 Rodrigo Ribeiro F
Bench (9)
4 N. Rodríguez
3 Rafael Rodrigues
17 J. Mercado
9 I. Kamate
18 Nenê
47 Jonatan Lucca
23 Gustavo Mendonça
88 Pedro Trigueira
29 Zé Luís

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,14
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.