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Eredivisie

Referee: A Bos

Heracles

T S T T T

1–4

Full-time

Nijmegen

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

3,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

5,0

Conceded

4,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,33 xG 3,05

19% Possession 81%

13 Shots 24

6 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 16. · Nijmegen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
2	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
4	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
15	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
18	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
11	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
3	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
4	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
5	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
6	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
7	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
8	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
9	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
11	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.