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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Groningen

S T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

4,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,80 xG 2,16

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 14. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
3	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
15	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
11	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
4	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
7	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
8	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
9	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
10	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
11	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
12	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.