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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Excelsior

S S S T T

1–2

Full-time

Feyenoord

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

5,7

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

3,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

5,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-5,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,07 xG 2,52

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 18. · Feyenoord 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
3	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
4	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
5	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
15	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
18	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
3	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
4	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
5	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
6	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
7	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
8	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
10	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.