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LaLiga2
Referee: D Arcediano
Santander
T U S U T
3–1
Full-time
Castellon
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 12
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -25 Santander – Castellon 1–1 22. Sep -24 Castellon – Santander 0–1

Match report

Santander Castellon
1–0 A. Villalibre ⚽
I. Vicente
6′
2–0 A. Martin ⚽
I. Vicente
39′
45′
⚽ O. Camara 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 I. Suero
↦ A. Sienra
48′
ℹ️ Salvador Ruiz
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Sergio 🔁
↦ I. Sainz-Maza
59′
Y. Cabanzon 🔁
↦ M. Sangalli
59′
Alvaro Mantilla 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 Tincho
↦ B. Cipenga
Sergio Martinez 🟨
66′
75′
🔁 Serpeta
↦ A. Mabil
75′
🔁 N. Markanich
↦ O. Camara
P. Canales 🔁
↦ A. Mantilla
78′
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ A. Aldasoro
78′
Asier Villalibre ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
81′
82′
🟥 Alberto Jiménez
3–1 A. Martin ⚽
84′
85′
🔁 F. Brignani
↦ A. Calatrava
Jeremy Arevalo 🔁
↦ A. Villalibre
90′
Iñigo Vicente 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
2 A. Mantilla D
4 Manu D
5 J. Castro D
32 J. Salinas D
6 I. Sainz-Maza M
8 A. Aldasoro M
11 A. Martin M
10 I. Vicente M
15 M. Sangalli M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (12)
13 P. Andreev
20 S. Camara
36 M. Sergio
37 A. Crespo
18 P. Canales
23 M. Garcia
42 I. Incera
17 C. Michelin
7 Y. Cabanzon
29 Jeremy Arevalo
3 S. Garcia
43 F. Santi

Coach: Jose Lopez

Castellon

4-2-3-1
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 J. Mellot D
5 A. Jimenez D
4 A. Sienra D
17 S. Ruiz D
8 Barri
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
7 A. Mabil M
21 A. Calatrava M
16 B. Cipenga M
9 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
12 L. Alcazar
24 Serpeta
20 N. Markanich
26 Tincho
13 R. Matthys
55 M. Willman
10 I. Suero
19 D. Bosilj
3 F. Brignani
14 O. Gil
23 K. Mamah
6 M. Doue

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
🔒
U
3,42
🔒
B
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,10
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Arcediano · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.