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DFB-Pokal
Referee: L Exuzidis
1–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VfB Lubeck Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
21 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
23 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
24 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VfB Lubeck Darmstadt
Marvin Thiel 🟨
25′
34′
M. Maglica 0–1
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Aleksandar Vukotić
Antonio Verinac 🟨
63′
M. Lehnfeld 🔁
↦ F. Istefo
66′
71′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ M. Richter
71′
🔁 C. Riedel
↦ M. Maglica
73′
F. Hornby 0–2
C. Riedel
D. Karimani 🔁
↦ J. Amadi
78′
Pierre Becken 🟨
81′
R. Shivani 🔁
↦ M. Polat
86′
86′
🔁 B. Bialek
↦ I. Lidberg
86′
🔁 Y. Furukawa
↦ L. Marseiler
1–2 P. Becken
D. Karimani
90′
94′
🔁 J. Boetius
↦ F. Hornby
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

VfB Lubeck

4-3-3
21 P. Diestel G
37 J. Amadi D
5 L. Menke D
45 P. Becken
13 M. Thiel D
6 B. Pfundheller M
39 J. Albrecht M
8 M. Polat M
22 C. Ulrich F
9 A. Verinac F
19 F. Istefo
Bench (9)
1 F. Bohmker
4 Y. Melenivskyi
18 N. Philipp
20 R. Shivani
23 D. Karimani
28 R. Demir
41 H. Jeschonek
44 M. Lehnfeld
46 T. Sachau

Coach: Guerino Capretti

Darmstadt

3-5-2
1 M. Schuhen G
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
5 M. Maglica D
8 L. Marseiler M
17 K. Klefisch M
23 M. Richter M
34 K. Corredor M
15 F. Nurnberger M
9 F. Hornby F
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
10 J. Boetius
16 H. Akiyama
21 M. Papela
22 S. Guler
14 B. Bialek
32 F. Holland
38 C. Riedel
44 Y. Furukawa

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.