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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Lechner
Sportfreunde Lotte
T
0–2
Full-time
Freiburg
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sportfreunde Lotte Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
5,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
5,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17% Possession 83%
2 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 4
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
21 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
23 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
24 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sportfreunde Lotte Freiburg
24′
🟨 Patrick Osterhage
Samuel Owusu Addai 🟨
39′
43′
⚽ E. Dinkci 0–1
Ben Klefisch 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
S. Stublla 🔁
↦ S. Addai
46′
62′
🔁 Y. Suzuki
↦ P. Osterhage
62′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
K. Holzweiler 🔁
↦ L. Horn
64′
Leon Demaj 🟨
67′
69′
⚽ L. Holer 0–2
M. Heider 🔁
↦ K. Krasniqi
72′
Santos 🔁
↦ B. Klefisch
78′
N. Ciccarelli 🔁
↦ L. Demaj
78′
78′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ C. Gunter
78′
🔁 J. Beste
↦ E. Dinkci
Fabian Rüth 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 M. Rohl
↦ J. Manzambi
Nazzareno Ciccarelli 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sportfreunde Lotte

1 R. Meyer G
22 D. Milic D
5 F. Uzelac D
4 F. Ruth D
2 J. Kehl
17 K. Krasniqi M
6 B. Klefisch
24 L. Kerkemeyer M
9 S. Addai F
33 L. Horn F
28 L. Demaj F
Bench (9)
12 L. Beckemeyer
39 J. Riemer
3 Santos
7 A. Wiegel
8 D. Bajric
10 N. Ciccarelli
31 K. Holzweiler
23 S. Stublla
20 M. Heider

Freiburg

4-3-3
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Gunter D
6 P. Osterhage M
8 M. Eggestein M
32 V. Grifo M
9 L. Holer F
44 J. Manzambi F
18 E. Dinkci F
Bench (9)
21 F. Muller
5 A. Jung
33 J. Makengo
19 J. Beste
34 M. Rohl
14 Y. Suzuki
20 J. Adamu
22 C. Irie
7 D. Scherhant

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.