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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Norrkoping

T S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Elfsborg

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

26%

58%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

58%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,14 xG 1,38

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 13

1 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 11. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	19	14	4	1	+23	+2.5	46
2	Hammarby	19	13	3	3	+20	+12.8	42
3	Malmo FF	20	10	6	4	+16	+12.4	36
4	Elfsborg	19	11	3	5	+10	+4.2	36
5	AIK	19	9	7	3	+8	+4.6	34
6	GAIS	19	8	8	3	+13	+10.2	32
7	Goteborg	19	10	1	8	+2	+1.4	31
8	Djurgarden	19	7	6	6	+3	+4.2	27
9	Brommapojkarna	19	7	2	10	+0	-0.7	23
10	Hacken	19	6	5	8	-7	+2.2	23
11	Norrkoping	19	5	4	10	-8	-10.6	19
12	Halmstad	20	5	3	12	-25	-13.9	18
13	Sirius	19	4	5	10	-7	-2.7	17
14	Oster	19	3	6	10	-11	-10.6	15
15	Degerfors	19	4	3	12	-21	-3.7	15
16	Varnamo	19	1	6	12	-16	-12.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.8	25
2	Mjallby	9	7	2	0	+12	+4.9	23
3	Elfsborg	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.8	20
4	AIK	9	5	4	0	+10	+4.6	19
5	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+8	+8.5	17
6	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+5	+6.9	15
7	Djurgarden	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.2	14
8	Goteborg	9	4	1	4	+3	+3.1	13
9	Halmstad	11	4	1	6	-11	-4.7	13
10	Hacken	10	3	2	5	-5	+4.0	11
11	Norrkoping	10	3	1	6	-4	-1.8	10
12	Brommapojkarna	9	3	0	6	-3	+0.2	9
13	Sirius	9	2	2	5	-3	+1.0	8
14	Varnamo	10	1	4	5	-5	-5.3	7
15	Oster	9	1	3	5	-6	-4.3	6
16	Degerfors	10	1	3	6	-12	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	10	7	2	1	+11	-2.3	23
2	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.9	19
3	Goteborg	10	6	0	4	-1	-1.8	18
4	GAIS	10	4	5	1	+8	+3.3	17
5	Hammarby	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.0	17
6	Elfsborg	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.4	16
7	AIK	10	4	3	3	-2	-0.1	15
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.9	14
9	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+0	-1.1	13
10	Hacken	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.8	12
11	Norrkoping	9	2	3	4	-4	-8.9	9
12	Sirius	10	2	3	5	-4	-3.7	9
13	Oster	10	2	3	5	-5	-6.3	9
14	Degerfors	9	3	0	6	-9	-3.3	9
15	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-14	-9.2	5
16	Varnamo	9	0	2	7	-11	-6.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.