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Referee: Jonas Hansen

T S S T S

2–2

Full-time

T T U T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG conceded Pro

This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

0%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

63%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,8

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

20 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Horsens 7. · Aarhus 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	+15	+0.7	24
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	+8	+2.8	19
3	Nordsjaelland	8	5	2	1	+7	+8.7	17
4	Viborg	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.2	14
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	-3	-1.4	13
6	Silkeborg	9	2	4	3	+0	-3.4	10
7	Horsens	8	3	1	4	-1	-5.6	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	-3	-5.0	10
9	Odense	9	2	3	4	-6	-1.0	9
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	-6	+3.9	7
11	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.2	5
12	Aarhus	8	0	4	4	-6	+2.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Nordsjaelland	4	4	0	0	+6	+6.6	12
3	Midtjylland	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.4	10
4	Viborg	4	3	0	1	+4	+0.1	9
5	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+0	+0.8	9
6	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	-2	-2.2	7
7	Silkeborg	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.3	5
8	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
9	Lyngby	5	0	4	1	-4	+1.0	4
10	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.4	4
11	Odense	4	1	1	2	-5	+1.2	4
12	Aarhus	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+8	-0.1	12
2	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.5	9
3	Horsens	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
4	Silkeborg	5	1	2	2	+1	-3.1	5
5	Nordsjaelland	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.1	5
6	Viborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+3.1	5
7	Odense	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.3	5
8	Brondby	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.2	4
9	Randers FC	4	1	0	3	-1	-2.8	3
10	Lyngby	4	1	0	3	-2	+2.9	3
11	Aarhus	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.4	1
12	Sonderjyske	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -23 Aarhus – Horsens 2–0 26. Aug -22 Horsens – Aarhus 2–1 13. Dec -20 Horsens – Aarhus 1–2 18. Oct -20 Aarhus – Horsens 3–0 24. Feb -20 Horsens – Aarhus 1–2

Match report

Horsens Aarhus

Adam Herdonsson 🟨

35′

Half-time 0–1

58′

⚽ Magnus Knudsen 0–1

Tobias Bech Kristensen

Ivan Milićević 🔁

↦ Ole Martin Kolskogen

59′

Karlo Lusavec 🔁

↦ Adam Herdonsson

59′

Alagie Saine 🟨

60′

61′

🔁 Sebastian Jorgensen

↦ Tobias Bech Kristensen

Kingsley Bimpong 🔁

↦ Yamirou Ouorou

66′

67′

🔁 Stefen Tchamche

↦ Frederik Emmery

67′

🔁 Callum McCowatt

↦ Janni Serra

68′

⚽ Callum McCowatt 0–2

Jakob Bonde Jensen 🔁

↦ Adrian Justinussen

77′

Julius Körkkö 🔁

↦ Abdul Moro

77′

84′

🔁 Jacob Andersen

↦ Colin Rosler

84′

🔁 Frederik Tingager

↦ Rasmus Carstensen

1–2 Jakob Bonde Jensen ⚽

Victor Pálsson

89′

89′

🟨 Kristian Arnstad

2–2 Ivan Milićević ⚽

94′

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Horsens

4-2-3-1

1

M. Delač G

26

V. Pálsson D

35

M. Kupijbida D

24

O. Kolskogen D

28

A. Saine D

16

A. Moro M

17

A. Herdonsson M

27

Y. Ouorou M

14

J. Madsen M

15

A. Justinussen M

11

K. Ehibhatiomhan F

Bench (9)

22 J. Batigi

41 Kingsley Bimpong

6 J. Bonde

30 S. Doua

18 J. Körkkö

20 K. Lusavec

7 I. Miličević

31 A. Hoff

25 Fallou Sene

Coach: Niki Zimling

Aarhus

3-4-2-1

21

M. Hedenstad Christiansen G

25

C. Rösler D

3

D. Grétarsson D

14

T. Mølgaard D

29

R. Carstensen M

4

M. Knudsen M

10

Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M

39

Frederik Emmery M

31

T. Bech M

23

M. Anderson M

13

J. Serra F

Bench (9)

16 J. Jønsson

18 C. McCowatt

27 S. Tchamche

33 Luka Callø

28 J. Bogere

5 F. Tingager

26 J. Andersen

8 S. Jørgensen

1 J. Hansen

Coach: J. Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

4,00

🔒

Pinnacle 4,27 Betfair 4,10 Marathonbet 4,10 1xBet 4,08 Betano 4,00 Bet365 3,90 BetVictor 3,90 William Hill 3,90 SBO 3,77

U ✓

3,68

🔒

Pinnacle 3,82 Bet365 3,75 Betano 3,70 Betfair 3,70 1xBet 3,68 Marathonbet 3,68 BetVictor 3,60 William Hill 3,50 SBO 3,47

B

1,81

🔒

Betano 1,88 Pinnacle 1,85 Bet365 1,83 SBO 1,81 1xBet 1,81 Betfair 1,80 BetVictor 1,80 William Hill 1,80 Marathonbet 1,79

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,22

🔒

U1,5

3,90

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,76

🔒

U2,5

2,05

🔒

O3,5 ✓

2,88

🔒

U3,5

1,40

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,67

🔒

BLS nei

2,10

🔒

Recent matches

16. Sep POK 2 weeks ago

11. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

6. Sep SL 3 weeks ago

1. Sep POK 4 weeks ago

28. Aug SL 1 month ago

Referee

Jonas Hansen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,4 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

22,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.