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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Malmo FF

S T S S U

4–1

Full-time

Orgryte

T U S T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

45%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

25 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 10

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 8. · Orgryte 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	+21	+10.6	45
2	Hammarby	21	12	4	5	+28	+20.8	40
3	Djurgarden	20	12	2	6	+25	+4.7	38
4	Elfsborg	21	9	7	5	+8	+0.2	34
5	Hacken	21	8	9	4	+4	+9.1	33
6	AIK	20	9	5	6	-2	-13.9	32
7	Vasteras SK	21	9	5	7	-3	-1.3	32
8	Malmo FF	20	9	3	8	+3	+3.9	30
9	Goteborg	21	8	5	8	-11	+2.1	29
10	GAIS	20	7	6	7	+7	+4.6	27
11	Brommapojkarna	21	7	6	8	-5	-6.3	27
12	Mjallby	20	5	6	9	-8	+0.7	21
13	Kalmar	21	5	4	12	-10	+0.6	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	-12	-10.4	19
15	Orgryte	20	3	6	11	-20	-11.2	15
16	Halmstad	21	2	5	14	-25	-13.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	11	9	1	1	+28	+12.0	28
2	Elfsborg	11	6	3	2	+8	-0.2	21
3	Sirius	10	6	2	2	+8	+6.1	20
4	GAIS	11	5	4	2	+12	+4.5	19
5	Goteborg	11	5	3	3	+2	+5.3	18
6	Kalmar	10	5	2	3	+2	-1.3	17
7	Hacken	11	4	5	2	+0	+6.4	17
8	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	+15	+3.8	16
9	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	+3	-2.8	15
10	Vasteras SK	10	3	4	3	+2	+1.4	13
11	AIK	9	4	0	5	-7	-3.8	12
12	Degerfors	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.7	11
13	Malmo FF	10	3	1	6	+1	+5.3	10
14	Mjallby	10	3	1	6	-4	+1.5	10
15	Orgryte	10	1	6	3	-2	-0.9	9
16	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	10	8	1	1	+13	+4.5	25
2	Djurgarden	10	7	1	2	+10	+0.9	22
3	AIK	11	5	5	1	+5	-10.1	20
4	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+2	-1.5	20
5	Vasteras SK	11	6	1	4	-5	-2.7	19
6	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.7	16
7	Elfsborg	10	3	4	3	+0	+0.4	13
8	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	+0	+8.7	12
9	Brommapojkarna	11	3	3	5	-8	-3.5	12
10	Mjallby	10	2	5	3	-4	-0.8	11
11	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-13	-3.2	11
12	GAIS	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.1	8
13	Degerfors	10	2	2	6	-9	-4.7	8
14	Orgryte	10	2	0	8	-18	-10.3	6
15	Halmstad	11	0	3	8	-15	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	11	0	2	9	-12	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.