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Pro League

Referee: Bert Verbeke

Waregem

S U S U S

0–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 72%

60%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

11 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 5. · Charleroi 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	+21	+1.2	19
2	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+10	+4.7	18
3	Gent	6	5	1	0	+8	+2.2	16
4	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.5	15
5	Waregem	5	3	2	0	+7	+1.9	11
6	Standard	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.4	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	-1	+2.7	10
8	Genk	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.3	9
9	St Truiden	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.0	9
10	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-3	-4.4	9
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.4	7
12	Lommel SK	6	2	1	3	-2	–	7
13	Lommel United	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.5	7
14	Westerlo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.9	7
15	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	-6	-0.2	3
16	Mechelen	6	0	2	4	-9	-1.0	2
17	RAAL La Louviere	5	0	1	4	-8	-3.0	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	1	5	-10	-5.3	1
19	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-11	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+13	+0.2	10
2	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.2	9
3	Beveren	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.2	9
4	Gent	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
5	Genk	3	2	1	0	+5	+5.8	7
6	Standard	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
7	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.3	7
8	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
9	Charleroi	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.1	6
10	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.5	5
11	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
12	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.0	4
13	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
14	Lommel United	3	1	0	2	+2	-0.4	3
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.7	1
17	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-5	+1.7	1
18	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.1	1
19	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
3	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
4	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.6	7
5	Waregem	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
6	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
7	Standard	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
8	Lommel SK	3	1	1	1	-4	–	4
9	Lommel United	3	1	1	1	-4	-0.1	4
10	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
11	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.9	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
14	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.9	2
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
16	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.6	0
18	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.4	0
19	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.