The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Austria Vienna
A. Lustenau
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LASK
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +13 | +8.6 | 15 |
| 2 |
SK Rapid
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | +6.6 | 15 |
| 3 |
Salzburg
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | +7.5 | 14 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 5 |
Tirol
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -1.7 | 7 |
| 6 |
Grazer AK
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -10 | -3.3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Hartberg
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -4.3 | 6 |
| 8 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -4.1 | 5 |
| 9 |
Ried
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -0.6 | 5 |
| 10 |
A. Lustenau
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -3.2 | 5 |
| 11 |
Altach
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | -1.6 | 3 |
| 12 |
Austria Vienna
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | -6.2 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G
R. Ranftl
D
A. Dragović
D
J. Handl
D
Daniel Nnodim
M
V. Müller
M
Philipp Maybach
M
Lee Tae-Seok
M
M. Fischer
M
V. Markovic
M
J. Eggestein
F
Coach: S. Helm
D. Schierl
G
Anilson
D
E. Chukwu
D
N. Pertlwieser
D
Danilo Soares
D
D. Kacuri
M
D. Weixelbraun
M
L. Afrifa
M
A. Gashi
M
S. Diarra
M
A. Verinac
F
Coach: M. Mader
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Austria Vienna
Tirol
Salzburg
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
Sp Braga
Sp Braga
Austria Vienna
Hartberg
Austria Vienna
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.