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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Pogon Szczecin

S U U T U

2–0

Full-time

Wieczysta Krakow

S T T T U

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Wieczysta Krakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 9. · Wieczysta Krakow 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	7	6	0	1	+6	+0.6	18
2	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.4	16
3	Legia	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.6	15
4	Wisla	8	4	2	2	+4	+4.5	14
5	Korona Kielce	7	3	3	1	+3	-1.9	12
6	Zaglebie	7	3	3	1	+2	+0.6	12
7	Jagiellonia	7	4	0	3	+1	+1.9	12
8	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	-4.2	10
9	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	3	1	+3	-1.1	9
10	GKS Katowice	7	3	0	4	+2	-1.3	9
11	Cracovia	8	2	2	4	-4	+3.2	8
12	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	-5	-0.9	8
13	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	-7	-2.9	8
14	Widzew Lodz	7	1	4	2	+0	-0.2	7
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	1	3	4	-3	-0.1	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	1	2	5	-6	-1.0	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	6	1	1	4	-4	-0.9	4
18	Rakow	7	1	0	6	-7	-7.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.1	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.6	10
3	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.8	10
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+2	-1.0	9
5	Legia	3	2	1	0	+7	+2.0	7
6	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
7	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.5	7
8	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
10	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
11	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.2	5
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.8	5
13	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
14	Korona Kielce	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.7	3
16	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.9	3
17	Widzew Lodz	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
18	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.9	9
3	Legia	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
4	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
5	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.7	6
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-5	-2.1	4
9	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
10	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.6	3
11	GKS Katowice	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
12	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.2	2
14	Motor Lublin	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.7	2
15	Cracovia	4	0	2	2	-3	+1.0	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	1	3	-3	+1.7	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.