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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves
Benfica
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T S S U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
3,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
4,2
1,0
Scored
3,6
0,8
Conceded
0,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 0
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 2. · Gil Vicente 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 +13 +5.4 18
2 Benfica 5 4 1 0 +15 +9.3 13
3 Sp Lisbon 5 4 1 0 +9 +4.3 13
4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 0 +6 +2.5 11
5 Arouca 5 3 1 1 +4 -1.3 10
6 Estrela 5 2 3 0 +2 -0.8 9
7 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 -2 -3.2 8
8 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.5 7
9 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 +1 +1.7 7
10 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 -2 +0.1 7
11 Alverca 6 1 2 3 -3 -3.1 5
12 Guimaraes 6 1 1 4 -3 +4.1 4
13 Nacional 6 1 1 4 -4 -3.3 4
14 Moreirense 5 1 1 3 -8 -5.9 4
15 Famalicao 5 0 3 2 -2 -0.9 3
16 Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 -9 -4.5 3
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 -5 -3.0 2
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 -14 -3.9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -26 Gil Vicente – Benfica 1–2 26. Sep -25 Benfica – Gil Vicente 2–1 28. Mar -25 Gil Vicente – Benfica 0–3 28. Sep -24 Benfica – Gil Vicente 5–1 4. Feb -24 Benfica – Gil Vicente 3–0

Match report

Benfica Gil Vicente
7′
⚽ Hector Hernandez 0–1
Gil Pinto Martins
Enzo Barrenechea 🟨
12′
26′
🟨 Hector Hernandez
1–1 Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽
29′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🔁 Santiago García González
↦ Agustín Moreira
56′
🔁 Mohamed Kaba
↦ Hector Hernandez
Fredrik Aursnes 🔁
↦ Leandro Barreiro
58′
João Palhinha 🔁
↦ Enzo Barrenechea
58′
João Palhinha 🟨
63′
70′
🟨 Lucão
Claudio Echeverri 🔁
↦ Andreas Schjelderup
72′
Dodi Lukebakio 🔁
↦ Rafa Silva
72′
81′
🔁 José Silva
↦ David Moreira
81′
🔁 Tidjany Chabrol Toure
↦ Gil Pinto Martins
Jhon Durán 🔁
↦ Daniel Banjaqui
81′
2–1 Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽
87′
88′
🔁 Antonio Espigares
↦ Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
3–1 Gianluca Prestianni ⚽
Claudio Echeverri
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
24 Samuel Soares G
58 Daniel Banjaqui D
44 Tomás Araújo D
2 C. Lenglet D
26 S. Dahl D
5 E. Barrenechea M
18 L. Barreiro M
27 Rafa M
25 G. Prestianni M
21 A. Schjelderup M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
3 A. Circati
22 J. Durán
30 C. Echeverri
34 S. El Karouani
72 A. Cabral
13 J. Kamiński
36 João Palhinha
11 D. Lukebakio
16 Manu
10 H. Sudakov
1 A. Trubin
8 F. Aursnes

Coach: Marco Silva

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
30 Lucão G
47 Ricardo Esgaio D
4 M. Elimbi Gilbert D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
45 David Moreira D
6 Zé Carlos M
12 A. Lausen M
77 Murilo M
20 Gil Pinto Martins M
27 A. Moreira M
23 Héctor Hernández F
Bench (12)
17 Sergio Bermejo
19 Guilherme
7 T. Touré
3 Espigares
32 M. Fernández
10 Santi García
99 M. Kaba
82 Gonçalo Maia Pereira
11 Joelson Fernandes
94 Samuel
2 José Silva
22 Manuel Maria Torres Teixeira

Coach: Luís Pinto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
🔒
U
7,44
🔒
B
17,46
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,10
🔒
U1,5
5,87
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,47
🔒
U2,5
2,52
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,08
🔒
U3,5
1,75
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
2,30
🔒
BLS nei
1,57
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,91 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.