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Allsvenskan
Referee: Joakim Ostling
Elfsborg
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Kalmar
T S U T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Kalmar 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 +21 +10.6 45
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 +25 +4.7 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 +26 +20.8 37
4 Hacken 21 8 9 4 +4 +9.1 33
5 AIK 20 9 5 6 -2 -13.9 32
6 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 -3 -1.3 32
7 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 +7 +0.2 31
8 Malmo FF 20 9 3 8 +3 +3.9 30
9 Goteborg 21 8 5 8 -11 +2.1 29
10 GAIS 20 7 6 7 +7 +4.6 27
11 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 -3 -6.3 27
12 Mjallby 20 5 6 9 -8 +0.7 21
13 Kalmar 20 5 4 11 -9 +0.6 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 -12 -10.4 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 -20 -11.2 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 -25 -13.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Kalmar
26′
🟨 Marius Soderback
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Momoh Ibrahim Kamara
Leo Hakan Ostman
51′
57′
🔁 Eskild Dall
↦ Malcolm Stolt
57′
🔁 Nassef Chourak
↦ Abdussalam Magashy
Ari Sigurpalsson 🔁
↦ Arbër Zeneli
69′
69′
🔁 Noah Shamoun
↦ Marius Soderback
69′
🔁 Melker Hallberg
↦ Tobias Lauritsen
Ossian nordvall 🔁
↦ Simon Olsson
78′
Per Frick 🔁
↦ Momoh Ibrahim Kamara
88′
Viggo Elfstrom 🔁
↦ Julius Beck
88′
88′
🔁 Alexander Almqvist
↦ Victor Larsson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pettersson G
16 A. Jensen D
6 R. Wikstrom D
4 T. Isherwood D
23 N. Hult D
18 J. Magnusson M
10 S. Olsson M
29 M. Kamara M
19 J. Beck M
9 A. Zeneli M
21 L. Ostman F
Bench (9)
12 T. Sander
2 V. Elfstrom
3 J. Esenga
5 O. Nordvall
27 O. A. Oluwatimilehin
17 P. Frick
25 A. Sigurpalsson
22 D. Krasniqi
14 G. Gunnarsson

Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Kalmar

4-4-2
1 S. Brolin G
26 M. Ylitolva D
4 J. Lofgren D
47 A. Keita D
2 V. Larsson D
10 M. Soderback M
17 C. Gustafsson M
22 T. Lauritsen M
24 C. Sagoe Jr M
9 M. Stolt F
21 A. Magashy F
Bench (7)
32 C. Andersson
39 L. Saetra
20 A. Almqvist
5 M. Hallberg
7 N. Chourak
25 N. Shamoun
19 E. Dall

Coach: Toni Koskela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,54
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,25
U1,5 ✓
3,60
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,94
O3,5
3,00
U3,5 ✓
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,72
BLS nei ✓
2,00

Referee

Joakim Ostling · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.