Eredivisie
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zwolle
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | +7.1 | 16 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +9.1 | 13 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +4.9 | 13 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | +7.8 | 11 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | +2.6 | 10 |
| 6 |
Excelsior
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | +2.4 | 10 |
| 7 |
For Sittard
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -6.5 | 10 |
| 8 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | -1.2 | 9 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -1.9 | 8 |
| 10 |
Nijmegen
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +1.5 | 7 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -2.6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | -1.9 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -1.5 | 5 |
| 14 |
Utrecht
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -8 | -3.0 | 5 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 16 |
Cambuur
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | -6.1 | 4 |
| 17 |
Willem II
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | -2.9 | 2 |
| 18 |
Den Haag
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | -6.2 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Schendelaar
G
O. Aertssen
D
S. Graves
D
N. Viergever
D
D. van der Haar
D
N. Fichtinger
M
T. Sommer
M
D. Mbayo
M
O. Velanas
M
I. Cissoko
M
K. Kostons
F
Coach: Henry van der Vegt
T. Ernst
G
G. Read
D
T. Watanabe
D
J. St. Juste
D
Mika Màrmol
D
O. Targhalline
M
C. Vanhoutte
M
A. Hadj-Moussa
M
L. Valente
M
G. Zechiël
M
Nacho Ferri
F
Coach: G. van Bronckhorst
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Zwolle
Twente
Zwolle
Zwolle
Ajax
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.