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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Weller
Osnabruck
T T S T S
1–3
Full-time
Hertha
S S U S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 9. · Hertha 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nurnberg 5 4 1 0 +9 -0.1 13
2 Hertha 4 4 0 0 +7 +1.8 12
3 Magdeburg 5 3 0 2 +2 -3.1 9
4 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +1 +1.9 9
5 Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 +3 +3.0 8
6 Kaiserslautern 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.9 8
7 Bochum 5 2 1 2 +0 +1.0 7
8 St Pauli 5 1 3 1 +0 +1.0 6
9 Osnabruck 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.7 6
10 Greuther Furth 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.0 5
11 Karlsruhe 4 1 2 1 -2 -1.5 5
12 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 +0 +0.9 4
13 Cottbus 4 1 1 2 -2 -4.4 4
14 Bielefeld 5 1 1 3 -2 +3.0 4
15 Hannover 5 1 1 3 -3 +2.7 4
16 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 -4 -3.9 4
17 Dresden 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.7 4
18 Holstein Kiel 4 0 3 1 -2 +0.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osnabruck Hertha
10′
🟨 Josip Brekalo
37′
🟨 Linus Jasper Gechter
Half-time 0–0
Adrian Beck 🟨
50′
50′
Josip Brekalo 0–1
Robin Fabinski 🟨
55′
Adrian Beck ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
Robin Meißner
penalty missed
60′
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 🔁
↦ Leonhard Luis Munst
68′
68′
🔁 Gustaf Nilsson
↦ Sebastian Gronning
70′
Kevin Sessa 0–2
77′
🔁 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
↦ Mads Valentin Pedersen
Konrad Faber 🔁
↦ Patrick Kammerbauer
77′
77′
🔁 Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
↦ Oluwaseun Adewumi
Bernd Riesselmann 🔁
↦ Fridolin Wagner
77′
1–2 Jonathan Gómez
Adrian Beck
82′
87′
🔁 Soufian gouram
↦ Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
87′
🔁 Selim Telib
↦ Pascal Klemens
Theo Janotta 🔁
↦ Jannik Müller
91′
Luca Raimund 🔁
↦ Jonathan Gómez
91′
92′
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 1–3
Soufian gouram
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Osnabruck

3-4-2-1
32 J. Krumrey G
27 R. Fabinski D
24 J. Muller D
25 N. Wiemann D
31 P. Kammerbauer M
26 F. Wagner M
15 B. Jacobsen M
42 Jogo M
21 A. Beck F
8 L. Munst F
11 R. Meissner F
Bench (9)
1 N. Sauter
20 T. Janotta
4 J. Abu Hanna
28 K. Faber
23 T. Lesueur
7 D. Kyereh
19 L. Opitz
17 L. Raimund
22 B. Riesselmann

Coach: Timo Schultz

Hertha

4-2-3-1
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 J. Eitschberger D
44 L. Gechter D
27 N. Kolbe D
22 M. Pedersen D
41 P. Klemens M
8 K. Sessa M
23 J. Thorsteinsson M
19 O. Adewumi M
7 J. Brekalo M
17 S. Gronning F
Bench (9)
43 T. Goller
42 D. Zeefuik
31 M. Dardai
29 J. Diallo
33 S. Gouram
47 S. Telib
9 G. Nilsson
18 L. Schuler
20 F. Alfa-Ruprecht

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,63
B ✓
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
5,25
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5
1,62
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,44
BLS nei
2,60

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.