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League Cup
Referee: Scott Oldham
Newport County
S T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Millwall
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newport County Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 1,57
38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Newport County Millwall
16′
🟨 Ryan Leonard
Half-time 0–0
L. Jenkins 🔁
↦ C. Antwi
56′
60′
⚽ R. Leonard 0–1
A. Emakhu
64′
🔁 K. Nisbet
↦ J. Coburn
64′
🔁 D. Kelly
↦ R. Bangura-Williams
64′
🔁 W. Harding
↦ Z. Sturge
M. Reindorf 🔁
↦ C. Baker-Richardson
65′
74′
🟨 Massimo Luongo
C. Brennan 🔁
↦ K. Whitmore
75′
M. Spellman 🔁
↦ H. Ogunneye
75′
87′
🔁 A. Matthews
↦ M. Langstaff
97′
🔁 S. Kendall
↦ A. Emakhu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Newport County

3-4-2-1
28 J. Wright G
2 C. Evans D
5 J. Clarke D
4 M. Baker D
22 H. Ogunneye M
14 K. Whitmore M
20 B. Lloyd M
3 A. Driscoll-Glennon M
11 C. Antwi F
7 B. Kamwa F
9 C. Baker-Richardson F
Bench (9)
1 N. Tzanev
6 C. Brennan
10 O. Greaves
15 L. Jenkins
17 T. Davies
21 M. Spellman
23 M. Reindorf
27 M. Alexander-Walker
31 N. Sanca

Coach: David Robert Hughes

Millwall

4-2-3-1
15 M. Crocombe G
18 R. Leonard D
27 K. Grant D
5 J. Cooper D
3 Z. Sturge D
25 L. Cundle M
21 M. Luongo M
31 R. Bangura-Williams M
17 M. Langstaff M
22 A. Emakhu M
19 J. Coburn F
Bench (9)
13 S. Benda
4 T. Crama
7 K. Nisbet
16 D. Kelly
28 A. Matthews
30 R. Lamptey
32 S. Kendall
45 W. Harding
47 J. Howland

Coach: Alexander Francis Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.