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League Cup
Referee: Jacob Miles
Oxford
T U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Colchester
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oxford Colchester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,74 xG 0,54
63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Oxford Colchester
1–0 T. Goodrham ⚽
T. Bradshaw
9′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Tovide
↦ J. Payne
46′
🔁 K. Lisbie
↦ J. Williams
58′
🟨 Ben Perry
L. Sibley 🔁
↦ W. Lankshear
62′
G. O'Donkor 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
62′
64′
🔁 O. Thorn
↦ K. Vincent-Young
64′
🔁 R. Harvey
↦ B. Perry
70′
🔁 O. Edwards
↦ J. Gordon
B. Spencer 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
73′
E. Moore 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
79′
M. Harris 🔁
↦ S. Dembele
79′
Cameron Brannagan 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Samson Tovide
Mark Harris 🟨
89′
Brodie Spencer 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Kyreece Lisbie
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oxford

4-1-3-2
1 J. Cumming G
24 H. ter Avest D
2 S. Long D
6 M. Helik D
26 J. Currie D
8 C. Brannagan M
19 T. Goodrham M
23 S. Dembele M
10 M. Phillips M
27 W. Lankshear F
20 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (9)
21 M. Ingram
4 W. Vaulks
5 E. Moore
9 M. Harris
15 B. Spencer
17 S. Mills
18 L. Sibley
39 G. O'Donkor
49 L. Snowden

Coach: Gary Rowett

Colchester

4-2-3-1
1 M. Macey G
30 K. Vincent-Young D
5 J. Tucker D
6 T. Flanagan D
26 J. Powell D
4 B. Perry M
16 A. Read M
11 J. Gordon M
10 J. Payne M
23 A. Akande M
17 J. Williams F
Bench (9)
12 T. Smith
2 R. Hunt
9 S. Tovide
14 K. Lisbie
18 O. Thorn
21 O. Edwards
43 F. Edwards
47 R. Harvey
49 L. Emery

Coach: Danny Cowley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.