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KNVB Beker
Referee: M ter Velde

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Amateurs Kolping Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ajax Amateurs 21. · Kolping Boys 31.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
14 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Juliana '31 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Poortugaal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Winterswijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Ajax Amateurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 UDI '19 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Kolping Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Lisse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Amateurs Kolping Boys
1–0 D. van Son
40′
Half-time 1–0
B. van Dongen 🔁
↦ R. Deken
46′
67′
🔁 S. Kee
↦ J. Gijzen
67′
🔁 L. Schouten
↦ J. Berkhout
D. Lachman 🔁
↦ D. Rosheuvel
72′
84′
🔁 J. van der Hoeven
↦ A. Winkelaar
84′
🔁 L. Wagenaar
↦ T. Menu
84′
L. Rouppe van der Voort 1–1
92′
J. van der Hoeven 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ajax Amateurs

1 J. van der Mark
2 R. Ligeon
5 T. Brinkman
4 R. Deken
3 N. van den Heuvel
8 D. Rosheuvel
6 F. Sporkslede
7 D. van Son
11 A. El Yettefti
10 T. Correia
9 M. Huijsman
Bench (7)
15 B. van Dongen
25 D. Lachman
12 A. Ouboumalne
17 V. Schep
20 F. van den Bosch
18 Y. El Morabet
19 R. Neuhaus

Coach: D. Le Grand

Kolping Boys

10 M. Ettouhlali
21 N. Plomper
12 D. Helder
4 T. Kee
2 A. Ouaziz
5 A. Winkelaar
7 F. Kemps
8 T. Menu
16 J. Berkhout
9 J. Gijzen
11 L. Rouppe van der Voort
Bench (8)
6 S. Kee
14 L. Schouten
20 J. van der Hoeven
15 L. Wagenaar
1 W. de Jong
18 M. Bare
22 D. Konijn
17 N. de Wit

Coach: R. Klanker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.