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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Sirius

U S T S S

0–1

Full-time

AIK

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 49%

45%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

64%

52%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

52%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,78 xG 0,66

68% Possession 32%

15 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 8. · AIK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	5	3	+38	+22.3	53
2	Djurgarden	23	13	3	7	+9	+1.1	42
3	Hammarby	23	12	5	6	+17	+3.7	41
4	GAIS	24	12	4	8	+4	-4.2	40
5	AIK	23	12	3	8	+0	+2.1	39
6	Elfsborg	24	11	5	8	+11	+5.2	38
7	Mjallby	23	11	5	7	+6	+1.3	38
8	Sirius	22	10	4	8	+5	+1.2	34
9	Hacken	23	9	6	8	+2	-3.7	33
10	Brommapojkarna	23	6	9	8	-6	-1.0	27
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-17	-5.0	26
12	Varnamo	23	6	5	12	-10	-6.6	23
13	Goteborg	23	5	8	10	-11	-5.8	23
14	Halmstad	23	7	1	15	-17	-7.0	22
15	Kalmar	23	6	3	14	-17	-7.3	21
16	Vasteras SK	23	5	3	15	-14	+3.7	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	10	0	1	+27	+9.6	30
2	Elfsborg	13	8	3	2	+17	+4.9	27
3	GAIS	13	8	3	2	+10	+0.3	27
4	Mjallby	11	7	3	1	+10	+2.6	24
5	AIK	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.0	22
6	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	+0.7	21
7	Hacken	12	5	3	4	+6	-1.9	18
8	Djurgarden	11	5	3	3	+2	-1.5	18
9	Sirius	11	5	2	4	+6	+3.2	17
10	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
11	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	+2	-1.2	15
12	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.3	11
13	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-7	-4.3	11
14	Brommapojkarna	11	2	5	4	-8	-1.1	11
15	Vasteras SK	12	3	1	8	-7	+3.7	10
16	Varnamo	12	2	2	8	-12	-2.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	12	8	0	4	+7	+2.7	24
2	Malmo FF	13	6	5	2	+11	+12.7	23
3	Hammarby	12	6	2	4	+6	+3.0	20
4	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
5	AIK	12	5	2	5	-10	-0.9	17
6	Brommapojkarna	12	4	4	4	+2	+0.0	16
7	Varnamo	11	4	3	4	+2	-4.4	15
8	Hacken	11	4	3	4	-4	-1.8	15
9	Mjallby	12	4	2	6	-4	-1.3	14
10	GAIS	11	4	1	6	-6	-4.5	13
11	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-4	-1.5	12
12	Elfsborg	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.3	11
13	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-11	-6.0	10
14	Norrkoping	12	2	4	6	-12	-2.5	10
15	Vasteras SK	11	2	2	7	-7	+0.1	8
16	Halmstad	12	2	1	9	-19	-5.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.