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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Korona Kielce

U S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lech Poznań II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lech Poznań II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.