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Puchar Polski
Referee: Ł Karski
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpia Grudziądz Tychy 71
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Hutnik Kraków 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Polonia Bytom 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Lech Poznań II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
19 Piast Gliwice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Avia Świdnik 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 Star Starachowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olimpia Grudziądz Tychy 71
20′
M. Hołownia 0–1
1–1 S. Krocz
26′
27′
🟨
35′
🔁 M. Dziuba
↦ R. Makowski
38′
M. Błachewicz 1–2
Half-time 1–2
🟨
46′
46′
🟨
48′
🟨
2–2 K. Cichoń
59′
K. Rychert 🔁
↦ J. Bonikowski
69′
69′
🔁 J. Bieroński
↦ M. Szpakowski
69′
🔁 J. Keiblinger
↦ T. Kubik
3–2 S. Krocz
71′
80′
🔁 D. Rumin
↦ T. Kurtaran
80′
🔁 W. Niewiarowski
↦ J. Ertlthaler
O. Sikorski 🔁
↦ K. Cichoń
85′
4–2 S. Krocz
86′
I. Maruszak 🔁
↦ R. Kobryń
88′
M. Mas 🔁
↦ S. Krocz
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Olimpia Grudziądz

P. Depka
D. Kostkowski
A. Klimczak
R. Kobryń
B. Zbiciak
O. Sewerzyński
D. Frelek
T. Kaczmarek
S. Krocz
K. Cichoń
J. Bonikowski
Bench (8)
K. Rychert
O. Sikorski
I. Maruszak
M. Mas
F. Koperski
P. Kukulski
Oriol Gómez
I. Tsiupa

Coach: G. Niciński

Tychy 71

M. Górski
M. Hołownia
N. Nedić
M. Błachewicz
J. Budnicki
J. Ertlthaler
R. Makowski
M. Szpakowski
T. Kurtaran
T. Kubik
B. Śpiączka
Bench (9)
M. Dziuba
J. Bieroński
J. Keiblinger
D. Rumin
W. Niewiarowski
W. Żytek
J. Tecław
M. Dijaković
M. Łubik

Coach: A. Skowronek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.