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Europa League
Referee: S Sozza
Man United
T T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Twente
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 0,54
57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Twente
13′
🟨 Max Bruns
1–0 C. Eriksen ⚽
35′
Half-time 1–0
Lisandro Martínez 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ S. Steijn
61′
🔁 M. Kjølø
↦ M. Vlap
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
67′
68′
⚽ S. Lammers 1–1
74′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ M. van Bergen
78′
🟨 Sam Lammers
M. Mount 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
79′
K. Mainoo 🔁
↦ C. Eriksen
79′
R. Højlund 🔁
↦ M. Rashford
79′
83′
🟨 Ricky van Wolfswinkel
83′
🔁 G. Lagerbielke
↦ Y. Regeer
83′
🔁 G. Besselink
↦ S. Lammers
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
20 Diogo Dalot D
25 M. Ugarte M
14 C. Eriksen M
16 A. Diallo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 M. Rashford M
11 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (11)
17 A. Garnacho
7 M. Mount
37 K. Mainoo
9 R. Højlund
21 Antony
18 Casemiro
4 M. de Ligt
22 T. Heaton
1 A. Bayındır
35 J. Evans
43 T. Collyer

Coach: E. ten Hag

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
8 Y. Regeer M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
14 S. Steijn M
7 M. van Bergen M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (12)
11 D. Rots
4 M. Kjølø
30 S. Ltaief
3 G. Lagerbielke
41 G. Besselink
22 P. Tytoń
24 J. Mesbahi
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
6 C. Eiting
5 B. Kuipers
39 M. Rots
16 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.