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Coppa Italia

Referee: F Cosso

Udinese

U S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Salernitana

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

4,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Udinese 5. · Salernitana 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.