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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Galatasaray
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
3,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,42 xG 0,87
56% Possession 44%
25 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray PAOK
28′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
Half-time 0–1
0–1 A. Baba ⚽
own goal
48′
Kaan Ayhan 🟨
56′
67′
⚽ G. Konstantelias 0–2
71′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ F. Chalov
1–2 Y. Akgün ⚽
V. Osimhen
75′
77′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
77′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ G. Konstantelias
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
78′
M. Icardi 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
78′
82′
🔁 T. Bakayoko
↦ M. Camara
E. Jelert 🔁
↦ K. Ayhan
84′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
87′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
88′
2–2 M. Icardi ⚽
K. Demirbay
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
19 G. Güvenç G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
4 I. Jakobs D
20 Gabriel Sara M
34 L. Torreira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
11 Y. Akgün M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
8 K. Demirbay
9 M. Icardi
24 E. Jelert
44 M. Batshuayi
18 B. Kutlu
38 A. Ordu
83 E. Akman
30 Y. Demir
25 V. Nelsson
12 B. Şen
67 B. Luş
90 M. Baltacı

Coach: O. Buruk

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
15 O. Colley D
21 A. Baba D
2 M. Camara M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (10)
34 T. Tissoudali
22 S. Schwab
77 K. Despodov
8 T. Bakayoko
41 D. Monastirlis
5 G. Michailidis
25 K. Thymianis
54 K. Balomenos
47 S. Shoretire
23 Joan Sastre

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.