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Puchar Polski

Referee: D Krumplewski

Wigry Suwałki

3–1

Full-time

Świt Skolwin

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lech Poznań II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lech Poznań II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigry Suwałki Świt Skolwin

Half-time 0–0

J. Paszkowski 🔁

↦ M. Mościcki

46′

B. Gużewski 🔁

↦ P. Modzelewski

46′

1–0 K. Zalewski ⚽

47′

58′

⚽ K. Ropski 1–1

77′

🔁 O. Kalenik

↦ M. Spychała

77′

🔁 S. Kapelusz

↦ A. Stasiak

83′

🔁 M. Koziara

↦ G. Aftyka

P. Bednarczyk 🔁

↦ M. Makuszewski

90′

🟨

92′

95′

🔁 D. Fornalik

↦ K. Ropski

95′

🔁 D. Kort

↦ K. Nowak

2–1 M. Ozga ⚽

106′

K. Cudowski 🔁

↦ K. Zalewski

106′

3–1 K. Cudowski ⚽

117′

Ł. Trąbka 🔁

↦ E. Matus

119′

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Wigry Suwałki

M. Taudul

P. Berezianskyi

N. Wybraniec

E. Matus

M. Makuszewski

M. Ozga

K. Głowicki

M. Mościcki

O. Osipiuk

P. Modzelewski

K. Zalewski

Bench (9)

J. Paszkowski

B. Gużewski

P. Bednarczyk

K. Cudowski

Ł. Trąbka

D. Obidimma

F. Kozłowski

M. Dębski

S. Turczewski

Coach: P. Cimochowski

Świt Skolwin

P. Matłoka

J. Straus

S. Nowicki

D. Kisły

K. Janiszewski

B. Kasprzak

A. Stasiak

M. Spychała

K. Nowak

K. Ropski

G. Aftyka

Bench (9)

O. Kalenik

S. Kapelusz

M. Koziara

D. Fornalik

D. Kort

A. Sandach

D. Ciechanowski

J. Góral

J. Latański

Coach: T. Kafarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

27. Jul CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Wigry Suwałki

Świt Skolwin

Odds comparison

Recent matches