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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Kos
3–3
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hutnik Kraków Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Lech Poznań II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hutnik Kraków Piast Gliwice
7′
F. Piasecki 0–1
19′
🟨 F. Karbowy
M. Gorski 🟨
24′
40′
T. Kostadinov 0–2
45′
🟨 F. Piasecki
Half-time 0–2
M. Głogowski 🔁
↦ J. Tomal
46′
M. Zieba 🔁
↦ K. Pietrzyk
46′
46′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ J. Czerwiński
46′
🔁 T. Huk
↦ F. Piasecki
60′
🔁 G. Tomasiewicz
↦ F. Karbowy
60′
🔁 Jorge Félix
↦ A. Katsantonis
Y. Belych 🔁
↦ M. Sowiński
61′
K. Szablowski 🔁
↦ P. Mišák
72′
O. Soprych 🔁
↦ F. Jania
78′
1–2 K. Szablowski
80′
86′
🔁 A. Pyrka
↦ S. Mucha
2–2 J. Bełycz
87′
L. Kedziora 🟨
106′
110′
Jorge Félix 2–3
114′
🟨 K. Szymanski
3–3 J. Bełycz
117′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Hutnik Kraków

D. Frątczak
D. Hoyo-Kowalski
J. Tomal
Ł. Kędziora
F. Jania
P. Mišák
M. Urbańczyk
M. Sowiński
M. Górski
W. Słomka
K. Pietrzyk
Bench (9)
M. Głogowski
M. Zieba
Y. Belych
K. Szablowski
O. Soprych
A. Motrych
I. Tarasovs
J. Zagrodnik
K. Głogowski

Coach: M. Musiał

Piast Gliwice

K. Szymański
J. Czerwiński
T. Mokwa
Miguel Muñoz
J. Lewicki
T. Kostadinov
F. Karbowy
M. Szczepański
S. Mucha
F. Piasecki
A. Katsantonis
Bench (9)
M. Rosołek
T. Huk
G. Tomasiewicz
Jorge Félix
A. Pyrka
F. Plach
I. Drapiński
M. Chrapek
Miguel Nóbrega

Coach: A. Vuković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.