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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Maae

VSK Århus

T S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Aarhus

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VSK Århus Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 64%

60%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,6

2,5

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Skive	3	3	0	0	+13	9
3	Frem	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Brabrand	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
7	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
8	Fredericia	3	2	0	1	+9	6
9	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
10	Ishøj	3	2	0	1	+8	6
11	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Holbæk B&I	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	VSK Århus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
22	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
23	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
24	Viborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
25	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Brønshøj	3	1	1	1	-2	4
27	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+9	3
28	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
29	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	OKS	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Allerød	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	SGI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Herlev	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	B 1908	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	B 1913	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Give Fremad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
49	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	ACFC	2	1	0	1	-8	3
51	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
55	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
96	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
98	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
99	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brabrand	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Skive	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Frem	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
13	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brønshøj	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Fredericia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	SGI	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	B 1908	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
66	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
67	ACFC	1	0	0	1	-9	0
68	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
69	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0
70	B 1913	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Frem	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
20	Viborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
21	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
22	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
23	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
24	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	B 1908	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.