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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Aalesund
U U S S U
4–2
Full-time
Ull/Kisa
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Ull/Kisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
54%
21%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 2. · Ull/Kisa 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 28 19 6 3 +39 63
2 Aalesund 28 15 10 3 +24 55
3 Jerv 27 14 8 5 +4 50
4 Fredrikstad 27 13 7 7 +16 46
5 Sogndal 27 11 8 8 +8 41
6 Asane 28 11 5 12 -9 38
7 Sandnes ULF 28 10 7 11 -6 37
8 Start 28 10 6 12 +0 36
9 KFUM Oslo 25 10 6 9 -3 36
10 Raufoss 28 10 4 14 -1 34
11 Ranheim 28 9 7 12 -2 34
12 Bryne 28 10 4 14 -4 34
13 Grorud 28 9 4 15 -15 31
14 Stjørdals-Blink 28 7 6 15 -19 27
15 Ull/Kisa 28 6 8 14 -15 26
16 Strommen 28 3 12 13 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Ull/Kisa
31′
H. Kristiansen 0–1
33′
🟨 S. Ringstad
1–1 S. Haugen
40′
Half-time 1–1
T. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
46′
50′
🟨 J. Moula
69′
S. Sørløkk 1–2
72′
🔁 W. Lunde
↦ J. Husebø
73′
🟨 W. Sundby
2–2 S. Haugen
78′
Nenass 🔁
↦ E. Segberg
79′
S. Nordli 🟨
82′
3–2 S. Nordli
82′
88′
🔁 K. Gunnarshaug
↦ J. Moula
88′
🔁 O. Breistøl
↦ C. Aas
I. Määttä 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
92′
N. Hopland 🔁
↦ N. Castro
92′
4–2 D. Ólafsson
93′
A. Lie 🔁
↦ M. Lansing
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
5 D. Fällman
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
3 Q. Jansen
29 K. Barmen
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (9)
14 T. Kallevåg
7 Nenass
1 A. Lie
19 I. Määttä
38 N. Hopland
4 J. Grønner
10 M. Brajanac
17 M. Diaw
20 O. Solnørdal

Coach: L. Nilsen

Ull/Kisa

31 S. Hagerup
8 S. Ringstad
20 M. Sundli
5 S. Jenssen
24 J. Husebø
11 C. Aas
16 H. Kristiansen
14 H. Andresen
7 S. Sørløkk
21 J. Moula
15 M. Rakneberg
Bench (5)
22 W. Lunde
17 K. Gunnarshaug
18 O. Breistøl
1 C. Gjertsen
4 T. Hallstensen

Coach: S. Landro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.