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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
0–1
Full-time
Twente
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
42%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Twente 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 0 3 +13 30
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +35 27
3 Feyenoord 11 8 1 2 +14 25
4 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
5 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
6 Twente 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 -2 18
8 Cambuur 12 6 0 6 -5 18
9 Willem II 12 5 3 4 -5 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 5 2 5 -5 17
11 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 -3 14
12 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 0 6 +2 12
13 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 -3 11
14 Heracles 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Groningen 12 2 5 5 -8 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 2 4 6 -8 10
17 For Sittard 11 2 3 6 -12 9
18 Zwolle 12 1 1 10 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 M. Vlap
↦ R. Zerrouki
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
67′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
74′
81′
ℹ️ Michel Vlap
VAR: Penalty awarded
Giannis Masouras 🟨
82′
83′
R. van Wolfswinkel 0–1
84′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ D. Rots
84′
🔁 Julio Pleguezuelo
↦ M. Hilgers
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
85′
Mohammed Osman 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
85′
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
85′
89′
🟨 Michel Vlap
91′
🔁 D. Cleonise
↦ D. Limnios
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto D
7 G. Masouras D
2 D. Abels M
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 E. Emegha F
Bench (10)
15 A. Meijers
19 M. Engels
17 V. van Crooij
16 Mohammed Osman
18 K. Goudmijn
14 M. Heylen
12 L. Jans
20 B. van Leer
13 J. van Mullem
30 T. Coremans

Coach: H. Fraser

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
35 M. Hilgers D
6 W. Brama M
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios F
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots F
Bench (12)
14 M. Vlap
7 V. Černý
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
26 D. Cleonise
27 M. Ugalde
40 C. Staring
22 J. de Lange
5 G. Smal
8 L. Ilić
32 J. Bosch
43 D. Đumić
10 V. Misidjan

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,25
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.