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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Degerfors
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Varberg
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
18%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 41%
53%
29%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 15. · Varberg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 18 11 4 3 +25 37
2 Hacken 17 10 5 2 +17 35
3 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +21 33
4 Malmo FF 18 10 3 5 +10 33
5 AIK 18 9 5 4 +4 32
6 Goteborg 17 9 3 5 +9 30
7 Kalmar 18 8 3 7 +4 27
8 Mjallby 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Sirius 18 7 4 7 -5 25
10 Elfsborg 17 5 7 5 +7 22
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -3 19
12 Varnamo 18 4 6 8 -10 18
13 Varberg 17 5 3 9 -16 18
14 Helsingborg 18 2 5 11 -16 11
15 Degerfors 17 3 2 12 -21 11
16 Sundsvall 18 3 1 14 -29 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Varberg
36′
🟨 Oliver Stanisic
Half-time 0–0
Christos Gravius 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Johansson
↦ J. Lindner
Justin Salmon 🟨
47′
Joseph-Claude Gyau 🟨
49′
Sebastian Ohlsson 🟨
60′
D. Campos 🔁
↦ D. Vukojević
61′
61′
R. Simović 0–1
64′
🟨 Luke Le Roux
A. Mörfelt 🔁
↦ E. Bouzaiene
71′
J. Bertilsson 🔁
↦ R. Örqvist
71′
1–1 D. Campos
G. Granath
75′
Diego Campos 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 Eliton Júnior
↦ R. Tranberg
83′
🔁 F. Bohman
↦ Filipe Sissé
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Degerfors

3-4-3
1 A. Whiteman G
2 G. Granath D
15 G. Lagerbielke D
7 S. Ohlsson D
5 J. Gyau M
16 R. Örqvist F
11 C. Gravius M
22 J. Salmon M
20 E. Bouzaiene M
10 D. Vukojević F
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (7)
8 D. Campos
18 A. Mörfelt
9 J. Bertilsson
25 J. Gal
12 E. Lindell
4 S. Sabetkar
23 A. Rajamohan

Coach: T. Solberg

Varberg

5-3-2
29 F. Andersson G
18 J. Lindner D
4 O. Stanisic D
20 T. Carlsson D
2 J. Birkfeldt D
7 R. Tranberg M
8 L. Le Roux M
17 I. Lushaku F
22 A. Boman D
21 Filipe Sissé M
9 R. Simović F
Bench (7)
16 A. Johansson
11 Eliton Júnior
19 F. Bohman
14 O. Alfonsi
35 D. Krasniqi
32 D. Kunst
1 P. Mårtensson

Coach: J. Persson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.