OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mjondalen
Brann
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | +73 | 72 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +31 | 50 |
| 3 |
Start
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +22 | 45 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 42 |
| 5 |
Sandnes ULF
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 40 |
| 6 |
Ranheim
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 37 |
| 8 |
Sogndal
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 |
Mjondalen
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | -11 | 35 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -20 | 29 |
| 13 |
Bryne
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -34 | 14 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
26 | 1 | 8 | 17 | -38 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: K. Nicol
M. Dyngeland
F. Knudsen
D. Wolfe
M. Rasmussen
N. Wassberg
N. Castro
A. Heggebø
Coach: E. Horneland
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fredrikstad
Mjondalen
Stjørdals-Blink
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Skeid
KFUM Oslo
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Sandnes ULF
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.