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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Le Havre

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Bastia

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

30%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Havre 4. · Bastia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Amiens	10	6	2	2	+4	20
3	Sochaux	10	6	1	3	+11	19
4	Le Havre	10	5	4	1	+11	19
5	Guingamp	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Valenciennes	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Bastia	10	5	1	4	-1	16
8	Caen	10	4	3	3	+4	15
9	Metz	11	4	2	5	+1	14
10	Paris FC	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Grenoble	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Dijon	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	St Etienne	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Laval	10	3	1	6	-4	10
15	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Quevilly Rouen	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Pau FC	10	2	4	4	-7	10
18	Annecy	10	2	3	5	-4	9
19	Nimes	10	2	2	6	-5	8
20	Niort	10	2	2	6	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Amiens	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Valenciennes	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Sochaux	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Caen	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Metz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Grenoble	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Le Havre	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Bastia	5	3	0	2	+1	9
10	Guingamp	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	St Etienne	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Quevilly Rouen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Pau FC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Paris FC	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Annecy	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Niort	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Rodez	5	0	2	3	-7	2
20	Laval	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	5	3	1	1	+8	10
2	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Sochaux	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Laval	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Paris FC	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Rodez	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Bastia	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Amiens	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Caen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Annecy	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Valenciennes	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Pau FC	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Metz	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Dijon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Quevilly Rouen	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Niort	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Grenoble	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Nimes	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.