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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Dundee United
T T U T T
4–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
3,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,8
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 12. · Aberdeen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 +24 24
2 Rangers 9 7 1 1 +16 22
3 Hibernian 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 St Mirren 9 5 0 4 -3 15
5 Aberdeen 8 4 1 3 +7 13
6 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
7 Motherwell 10 4 1 5 +1 13
8 Livingston 9 4 0 5 -5 12
9 ST Johnstone 10 3 1 6 -4 10
10 Ross County 10 2 2 6 -13 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 1 6 -11 7
12 Dundee United 8 0 2 6 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Aberdeen
Jamie McGrath 🟨
30′
1–0 A. Behich
41′
43′
🟨 Hayden Coulson
2–0 T. Watt
K. Freeman
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Barron
↦ M. Watkins
57′
🔁 Duk
↦ H. Coulson
57′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ V. Besuijen
Kieran Freeman 🟨
65′
S. Anaku 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
70′
3–0 J. McGrath
73′
81′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ J. Richardson
81′
🔁 C. Ramírez
↦ Y. Ramadani
3–1 R. McCrorie
own goal
82′
I. Harkes 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
85′
P. Pawlett 🔁
↦ T. Watt
87′
R. Graham 🔁
↦ A. Behich
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-1-2
13 C. Eriksson G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
3 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman M
14 C. Sibbald M
19 D. Levitt M
16 A. Behich M
15 G. Middleton F
18 J. McGrath F
32 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
20 S. Anaku
23 I. Harkes
8 P. Pawlett
6 R. Graham
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
39 M. Thomson
1 M. Birighitti
17 A. Meekison
7 I. Niskanen

Coach: L. Fox

Aberdeen

4-4-2
24 K. Roos G
25 J. Richardson D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
22 H. Coulson D
15 M. Watkins M
2 R. McCrorie M
16 Y. Ramadani M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
10 V. Besuijen F
Bench (9)
8 C. Barron
11 Duk
20 L. Clarkson
7 S. Morris
99 C. Ramírez
33 M. Kennedy
1 J. Lewis
28 J. Milne
23 R. Duncan

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,55
U
3,32
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.