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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Pacos Ferreira

T T T U U

0–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

23 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 17

7 Yellow cards 7

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Guimaraes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Porto	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Sp Braga	8	6	1	1	+15	19
4	Casa Pia	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Sp Lisbon	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Estoril	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Portimonense	9	5	0	4	-1	15
8	Boavista	8	5	0	3	-4	15
9	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Chaves	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Rio Ave	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Gil Vicente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Arouca	8	2	3	3	-9	9
14	Vizela	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Famalicao	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Maritimo	8	0	0	8	-19	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	Portimonense	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Estoril	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Arouca	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	5	0	3	2	-5	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.