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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Norwich
S S U S U
2–3
Full-time
Preston
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 21%
42%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
58%
8%
Average goals
2,3
0,7
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 2. · Preston 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 +13 24
2 Norwich 12 7 3 2 +8 24
3 QPR 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Reading 13 7 1 5 -3 22
5 Burnley 12 4 7 1 +7 19
6 Swansea 12 5 3 4 +0 18
7 Blackburn 12 6 0 6 -2 18
8 Sunderland 12 4 5 3 +5 17
9 Luton 12 4 5 3 +3 17
10 Watford 12 4 5 3 +3 17
11 Preston 12 3 7 2 +0 16
12 Wigan 11 4 4 3 -1 16
13 Rotherham 11 3 6 2 +4 15
14 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 +2 15
15 Cardiff 12 4 3 5 -3 15
16 Millwall 12 4 2 6 -4 14
17 Hull 12 4 2 6 -11 14
18 Middlesbrough 11 3 4 4 -1 13
19 Birmingham 12 3 4 5 -3 13
20 Stoke 12 3 4 5 -4 13
21 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 -6 12
22 West Brom 12 1 7 4 -1 10
23 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 -6 8
24 Coventry 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Preston
1–0 J. Sargent
2′
25′
E. Riis 1–1
R. Brady
Sam Byram 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 Robbie Brady
Half-time 1–1
Gabriel Sara 🔁
↦ S. Byram
46′
46′
🔁 T. Parrott
↦ S. Maguire
51′
E. Riis 1–2
Álvaro Fernández
55′
🟨 Álvaro Fernandez
59′
🟨 Alan Browne
D. Sinani 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
59′
64′
🟨 Jordan Storey
68′
🔁 B. Woodburn
↦ R. Brady
K. Dowell 🔁
↦ M. Núñez
72′
2–2 Gabriel Sara
T. Pukki
76′
80′
🔁 A. Hughes
↦ G. Cunningham
80′
T. Parrott 2–3
B. Woodburn
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ L. Gibbs
81′
82′
🔁 R. Ledson
↦ T. Parrott
82′
🔁 D. Johnson
↦ A. McCann
97′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Norwich

4-3-1-2
1 T. Krul G
2 M. Aarons D
4 A. Omobamidele D
5 G. Hanley D
3 S. Byram D
26 M. Núñez M
46 L. Gibbs M
23 K. McLean M
20 A. Ramsey M
22 T. Pukki F
24 J. Sargent F
Bench (7)
17 Gabriel Sara
21 D. Sinani
10 K. Dowell
25 O. Hernández
28 A. Gunn
6 B. Gibson
9 J. Hugill

Coach: D. Smith

Preston

3-4-1-2
1 F. Woodman G
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
3 G. Cunningham D
8 A. Browne M
13 A. McCann M
4 B. Whiteman M
2 Álvaro Fernández M
11 R. Brady F
24 S. Maguire F
19 E. Riis F
Bench (7)
15 T. Parrott
20 B. Woodburn
16 A. Hughes
18 R. Ledson
10 D. Johnson
44 B. Potts
25 D. Cornell

Coach: R. Lowe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U
3,64
B ✓
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.