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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Darmstadt
U U U S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 2. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 10 8 0 2 +10 24
2 Darmstadt 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Paderborn 10 6 1 3 +14 19
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 2 3 +7 17
5 Heidenheim 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Karlsruhe 11 5 2 4 +5 17
7 Hannover 10 5 2 3 +4 17
8 Kaiserslautern 10 3 6 1 +3 15
9 Holstein Kiel 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Hansa Rostock 10 4 1 5 -4 13
11 Regensburg 11 3 3 5 -8 12
12 St Pauli 10 2 5 3 -1 11
13 Magdeburg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Nurnberg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Sandhausen 10 2 3 5 -3 9
16 Greuther Furth 11 1 6 4 -5 9
17 Braunschweig 10 2 3 5 -9 9
18 Bielefeld 11 2 2 7 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Fortuna Dusseldorf
Braydon Manu 🟨
29′
43′
🔁 M. Sobottka
↦ J. Hendrix
Jannik Müller 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
M. Warming 🔁
↦ B. Manu
56′
64′
🟨 Emmanuel Iyoha
E. Karic 🔁
↦ F. Ronstadt
69′
Y. Ben Balla 🔁
↦ T. Kempe
70′
1–0 P. Pfeiffer
F. Holland
72′
77′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ A. Tanaka
77′
🔁 M. Mansfeld
↦ E. Iyoha
Marvin Mehlem 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Marcel Sobottka
C. Riedel 🔁
↦ P. Tietz
84′
T. Isherwood 🔁
↦ J. Müller
84′
84′
🔁 K. Baah
↦ F. Klaus
Fabian Holland 🟨
88′
Emir Karić 🟨
90′
Patric Pfeiffer 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Marcel Mansfeld
94′
🟨 Christoph Klarer
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-3-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
26 M. Bader D
4 C. Zimmermann D
5 P. Pfeiffer D
32 F. Holland D
17 F. Ronstadt M
20 J. Müller M
11 T. Kempe M
6 M. Mehlem M
9 P. Tietz F
7 B. Manu F
Bench (7)
14 M. Warming
19 E. Karic
28 Y. Ben Balla
38 C. Riedel
3 T. Isherwood
21 S. Kroll
22 A. Seydel

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
5 C. Klarer D
8 M. Karbownik D
29 J. Hendrix M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
31 M. Sobottka
7 K. Peterson
44 M. Mansfeld
14 K. Baah
45 T. Geerkens
47 N. Vukančić
46 Elione Neto
1 R. Wolf
35 D. Bunk

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,79
B
3,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.