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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Hibernian
U T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
38%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Motherwell 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 +24 24
2 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +12 19
3 St Mirren 8 5 0 3 +1 15
4 Hibernian 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Aberdeen 8 4 1 3 +7 13
6 Motherwell 9 4 1 4 +2 13
7 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Livingston 9 4 0 5 -5 12
9 ST Johnstone 10 3 1 6 -4 10
10 Ross County 10 2 2 6 -13 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 1 6 -11 7
12 Dundee United 8 0 2 6 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jan -22 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–0 4. Dec -21 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–1 1. Aug -21 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–3 27. Feb -21 Hibernian – Motherwell 0–2 5. Dec -20 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–3

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
23′
🔁 R. Tierney
↦ B. Spittal
Paul Hanlon 🟨
39′
44′
🟨 Callum Slattery
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟥 Connor Shields
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ É. Youan
58′
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ M. Čabraja
64′
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ N. Kenneh
64′
1–0 R. Porteous ⚽
67′
71′
🔁 D. Cornelius
↦ C. Slattery
72′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ R. Tierney
72′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ K. van Veen
74′
🟨 Joseph Efford
79′
🟨 Ricki Lamie
E. Melkersen 🔁
↦ M. Kukharevych
80′
Harry McKirdy 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 S. McKinstry
↦ P. McGinn
89′
🟨 Matt Penney
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 R. Porteous D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
6 N. Kenneh M
77 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
32 J. Campbell M
23 É. Youan M
99 M. Kukharevych F
Bench (9)
22 H. McKirdy
16 L. Stevenson
7 K. Magennis
20 E. Melkersen
13 R. Schofield
25 W. Fish
10 Jair Tavares
18 E. Henderson
24 D. McGregor

Coach: L. Johnson

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
15 S. Johansen D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
11 J. Efford M
7 B. Spittal M
29 C. Shields M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
26 R. Tierney
18 D. Cornelius
2 S. O'Donnell
21 L. Moult
17 S. McKinstry
23 J. Morris
5 B. Mugabi
13 A. Oxborough
6 B. Maguire

Coach: S. Hammell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
🔒
U
3,54
🔒
B
4,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,09
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.